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GLOBAL FINANCE
Point Of Inflection

Free-market capitalism had already been spiked by state intrusions

ROBERT F. BRUNER
10 Oct 2008

Point Of Inflection
(AP)
The immense rescue legislation passed by the US Congress marks a historic watershed for the world. I have travelled extensively through East Asia this past month, and have watched the reaction of executives, government officials, journalists and academicians to the unravelling of financial markets in the US and the responses by governments. Critics from both ends of the political spectrum proclaim the passing of free-market capitalism. On the right, conservatives mourn the historic intrusion of government into private markets. And on the left, pundits rejoice in the end of the Reagan-era of government and the triumph of socialism. The critics are right that this is an important inflection point, but they are wrong about its meaning.

If you think the world has had a free-market financial system, think again. A free market avoids the distortions due to regulation; buyers and sellers drive the outcomes; competition is rigorous, and can produce volatile results; there is free entry and exit; investors are free to take risks, harvest any gains and bear any losses.

The free market in finance in the US ended in 1912 with the legislation to create the Federal Reserve System, the central bank. Before that, financial crises were simply Darwinian: panicked depositors; numerous bank failures; economic contractions; no management of the economic cycle or monetary policy; no safety nets for consumers; no government bailouts. Depositors usually responded with panic, creating bank-runs that destabilised institutions and the entire financial system. In The Panic of 1907, Sean Carr and I detailed the last unregulated banking panic in the US. In many cities, banks issued certificates instead of gold, equal to about 14 per cent of all the currency with the public. Banks suspended withdrawals by depositors; this triggered a national wave of hoarding cash. About 20 per cent of all the cash was simply withdrawn from the US financial system.

Robert F. Bruner
(Pic By Ian Bradshaw)
‘Free market’ does not describe well the financial services industry in the world today: government agencies regulate the entry, exit, and combination of financial institutions; they oversee the transparency of financial reporting and securities underwriting; they influence credit and capital policies of lenders; they manage the money supply through which they drive interest rates and inflation expectations; and they provide the electronic system through which vast quantities of cash are transferred. Government-sponsored entities such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac fuelled the extraordinary expansion of mortgage lending. Since 1978, the US government has managed financial markets to maintain full employment and stimulate economic growth. Similar practices prevail in many other countries. And then there are the supra-national institutions such as the IMF, World Bank and Bank for International Settlements that aim to promote financial stability on a global scale. With this much government intervention, it is hard to call the financial services industry ‘free-market capitalism’. Eventually, there will be a reckoning of the role of governments in contributing to this crisis.

To be sure, the financial markets in some countries are comparatively more free than others — certainly much more free than those in North Korea and Cuba, for instance. Some sectors of financial services are more free than others — think of hedge funds and private equity funds. And as the shareholders of Northern Rock, Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns have been reminded, the system is free enough to let them absorb some stunning losses. But make no mistake, governments are involved cheek-by-jowl in the functioning of financial markets.

I am not arguing that this is as it should be. We should not endorse government regulation carelessly. First, regulators can become captive to the very industries they regulate. Second, the private sector tends to squirm away from regulators. Make a rule, and executives and their lawyers will find exceptions and/or a way to skirt it. Third, private markets innovate relentlessly. This means that, like the general who always prepares to fight the last war, regulators tend to manage the private sector the way it used to be, not the way it is or will become. Fourth, it is all too easy to forget the costs of regulation. Government coffers are easy targets for special interest groups seeking to save certain firms, jobs and industries. With the bailout of the US banks, you can be sure the auto and air transport industries will be close behind seeking a safety net. Risk-reduction afforded by regulation is not costless. Do we want an absolutely risk-free society? Absolute risk reduction would choke off innovation, entrepreneurship and growth. Think of the Soviet Union, circa 1989. To be sure, where human safety is at issue, we want no doubts.

I think we do need government intervention in the financial services industry because the costs of coordination are too great, and the consequences of failure are too high. The current crisis is distinguished from previous crises by very great complexity, high speed of news and cash, and very large scale. It is hard to imagine the wreckage that would have occurred by now without the government’s interventions to date.

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Against this backdrop, the regulatory innovations roiling the markets do not strike me as the death knell of comparatively free-market capitalism. Or at least, if there is a death to grieve, then it must have happened a long time ago. Let the pundits mourn; it sells copy. Taxpayers will be mourning for quite some time, although for a different reason.

The author is Dean, Darden Graduate Business School, University of Virginia

(Businessworld Issue 14-20 Oct 2008)

 
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