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Oil Prices Stabilise After Iran Deal, Asian Shares Steady

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Oil prices stabilised on 26 November after the previous session's slide as traders questioned how quickly the Iranian nuclear accord could translate into higher supplies, while Asian shares got off to a cautious start.

The yen regained some poise following Monday's steep decline to a six-month low against the dollar and a four-year trough versus the euro.

US crude prices added 0.2 per cent to above $94 a barrel, pausing after the previous session's 0.8 per cent decline following a weekend deal between the West and Tehran to halt Iran's most sensitive nuclear activities in exchange for some relief from crippling sanctions.

"The interim six-month 'freeze' agreement just reached on Iran's nuclear programme should not have any impact on oil prices, aside from short-term sentiment, because core sanctions on oil and banking have not been touched," Societe Generale said in a note.

"We see a greater than 50 per cent chance that a comprehensive agreement will be successfully reached within six months....If and when that happens, it could take Iran three to nine months to recover the one million barrels per day in production lost since 2011."

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan inched up 0.1 per cent, adding to a 0.3 per cent rise in the previous session on the back of the Iranian deal.

Thai assets looked set to come under further pressure on heightened political uncertainty as anti-government protesters forced their way inside the country's Finance Ministry and burst through the gates of the Foreign Ministry compound, in a bid to oust Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra.

On Monday, the Thai SET index fell for a fifth straight session to an 11-week closing low and the baht tumbled to a two-week low versus the dollar.

Citigroup said the Iranian nuclear deal could be a "get-out-of-jail-free card" for current account deficit countries, such as India, Indonesia and Turkey, which face a liquidity drain when the Federal Reserve eventually tapers in the coming months.

Tokyo's Nikkei share average was likely to take a breather, with futures pointing to a weaker open after it climbed 1.5 per cent on Monday to within sight of a 5-1/2 year peak reached in May.

The Japanese currency, which typically falls when share price rise, was up 0.2 per cent at 101.52 yen to the dollar and up 0.1 per cent at 137.27 to the euro.

The euro was little changed at $1.35195, having fallen 0.3 per cent overnight.

"We remain bullish on the dollar heading into 2014 but remain tactically cautious on establishing longs, with a number of U.S. dollar pairs already trading at the high end of their ranges and data unlikely to be consistent enough to support expectations for an early tapering," analysts at BNP Paribas wrote in a note.

Data showed on Monday that contracts to buy previously owned U.S. homes fell for a fifth straight month in October, hitting a 10-month low and adding to signs of cooling in the housing market.

US stocks ended mixed overnight, with the Dow Jones industrial average posting a slim gain to end at another record high, while the S&P 500 eased 0.1 per cent.


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