India To Receive Below-Average Monsoon Rains In Next Two Weeks
"Weather model is showing a deficiency in rainfall over central and western India in the next two weeks", said an official with the India Meteorological Department (IMD).
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India is likely to get below-average rainfall in the next two weeks with a large deficit in the soybean and cotton growing central and western regions, a weather department official said on Thursday, raising concerns over the output of summer-sown crops.
"Weather model is showing a deficiency in rainfall over central and western India in the next two weeks", said an official with the India Meteorological Department (IMD), who declined to be named as he was not authorized to speak with media.
"The north-east and foothills of Himalaya could get good rainfall", he said.
India received 28% more rainfall than the 50-year average in the week to July 10, data from the IMD showed, after getting poor rainfall for five straight weeks.
This week's heavier monsoon cut the rainfall deficit since the start of the season on June 1 to 14% from 28% last week.
But the deficit could widen again in the next fortnight, said the official, adding "After two weeks, there are indications of good rainfall. The monsoon is seen reviving in the last week of July."
India is still recovering from a drought last year that ravaged crops, killed livestock, emptied reservoirs, and drained water supplies to city dwellers and some industries.
This year rains arrived in the southern state of Kerala a week late on June 8. The developing Cyclone Vayu in the Arabian Sea drew moisture from the monsoon and weakened its progress.
The weak start to the monsoon has delayed planting, with farmers sowing crops on 23.4 million hectares (57.8 million acres) as of July 5, down 27% from a year earlier.
Farmers in India plant summer crops in June and July after the arrival of monsoon rains.
"The next two weeks are crucial. Rainfall deficiency during this period could hit productivity of summer crops," said Vandana Bharti, assistant vice president at SMC Comtrade Ltd.